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Joined 4 months ago
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Cake day: January 9th, 2026

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  • Unfortunately trends never stay. I think it takes more than just 10 years to dominate Linux in the desktop market. If it ever happens. I mean not even Apple could break it, and that is a huge company. There is a point when the growth slow down. In example the initial adoption rate is often higher than the last remaining. We don’t even know what Microsoft will do. Remember Windows XP? The trends were different then. Remember Windows 8? Adoption rate doesn’t work like a simple graph.

    Linux desktop does not need to be “dominant”, it just needs big enough to be “relevant”. I would be flabbergasted if we reach 30% in 20 years.



















  • I don’t think we “need” a trend line, nor adds any true value at the moment. But that does not matter for our discussion we have.

    The line does actually represent the trend correctly, even at the end. Trend lines are like averages, they are never correct at any given time in the sense that they do not represent the current value. Even if there are huge fluctuations at the end, the trend tries to smooth it out over long period of “time”. It is only misleading, if you expect the line to represent the current value. But that’s not the point of a trend line. Usually trend lines are not overlapped with real values, as it looks confusing. Trend lines are there to simplify the look and to see a trend immediately over longer period of times.